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所有奖项季节都会导致奥斯卡,但对于演员或女演员站在杜比剧院舞台上(或者今年最有可能的情况,几乎接受小雕像),金球座SAG奖项是两个最具影响力的前体。

自1995年以来,SAG奖项已经存在,并迅速将自己作为同行会被同行承认的地方,因为它的跨越安巴斯选民的交叉。In the past 20 years, only three people have won an Academy Award for acting without garnering, at minimum, a nomination from both the Globes and the SAGs: Marcia Gay Harden for 2000’s “Pollock” in supporting actress (missed Globes and SAG), Christoph Waltz for 2012’s “Django Unchained” in supporting actor (missed SAG) and Regina King for 2018’s “If Beale Street Could Talk” in supporting actress (missed SAG). In the King and Waltz cases, their films were late-breakers in their respective seasons, and the lack of screeners reaching voters in time factored into their omissions.

今年,工作室和战略家仍然希望他们的竞争者可以获得提名并走向胜利的距离。

在最佳演员,里兹艾哈迈德(“金属的声音”),Chadwick Boseman(“Ma Rainey的黑底”),安东尼霍普金斯(“父亲”)和加里老人(“人类”)已经出现在这两组。Tahar Rahim(“Mauritanian”)降落了一个地球场,而史蒂文yeun(“Minari”)则陷入了落下的点头。With a handful of critics’ wins, Delroy Lindo (“Da 5 Bloods”) looked like a sure thing and a possible spoiler for the Oscars, especially if Boseman became a favorite for supporting actor for the same film — but he was snubbed by both the Golden Globes and SAG.

懒惰的镜像
Malcolm&Marie(L-R):Zendaya担任Marie,John David华盛顿为马尔科姆。Dominic Miller / Netflix©2021 Dominic Miller / Netflix©2021

In best actress, four women have emerged as locks for nominations — Viola Davis (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”), Vanessa Kirby (“Pieces of a Woman”), Frances McDormand (“Nomadland”) and Carey Mulligan (“Promising Young Woman”). The groundswell and support for 86-year-old Sophia Loren was palpable when her film “The Life Ahead,” directed by her son Edoardo Ponti, dropped in November. Still, the first winner for a foreign-language performance missed out on both bodies, when a Globe nomination from the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. should have been an easy get. Despite mixed reviews for “Malcolm & Marie,” some still believe in the star power of Zendaya. As for Andra Day (“The United States vs. Billie Holiday”), she felt like a potential spoiler earlier in the season, before the reviews dropped, but her chances of winning now
似乎不太可能。

随着这个奖项赛季作为非常规的赛季,需要为任何惊喜做准备合作者和预测者。

以下是目前主要代理竞争者的目前列表,在主要和支持类别中,没有下垂的提名,但可以从代理分支中获得大量的支持。

  • 班梦,“回路”(亚马逊工作室) - 引导演员
  • 妮可只是,“juneteenth小姐”(垂直娱乐) - 引导女演员
  • 艾伦伯斯特,“一个女人的碎片”(netflix) - 支持女演员
  • Sacha Baron Cohen.,“Borat随后的Moviefilm”(亚马逊工作室) - 引线演员
  • andra Day.,“美国与贝利假日”(Hulu) - 引导女演员
  • Dominique Fhickback.,“犹大和黑色弥赛亚”(华纳兄弟) - 支持女演员
  • 乔迪福斯特,“毛里塔尼亚”(StxFilms) - 支持女演员
  • yeri han.,“Minari”(A24) - 引导女演员
  • 德罗伊林多,“da 5血液”(netflix) - 铅演员
  • 索菲亚洛伦,“未来的生命”(Netflix) - 引导女演员
  • Mads Mikkelsen.,“另一轮”(Samuel Goldwyn电影) - 引导演员
  • 比尔默里,“在岩石上”(A24 / Apple TV Plus) - 支持演员
  • Michelle Pfeiffer.,“法国出口”(Sony Pictures Classics) - 引导女演员
  • Paul Raci.,“金属的声音”(亚马逊工作室) - 支持演员
  • 塔哈尔拉希姆,“毛里塔尼亚”(StxFilms) - 铅演员
  • Saoirse Ronan.,“氨态”(霓虹灯) - 支持女演员
  • 阿曼达seyfried,“人类”(netflix) - 支持女演员
  • David Strathairn.,“Namadland”(echareightlights) - 支持演员
  • 斯坦利Tucci.,“超新星”(Bleecker Street) - 支持演员
  • Glynn Turman.,“Ma Rainey的黑色底”(Netflix) - 支持演员
  • Zendaya.,“Malcolm&Marie”(Netflix) - 引导女演员

奥斯卡预测已在前六个类别中更新。

学院奖​​项预测(所有类别)